Susan asked what would Armstrong Men do regarding a rain out of the 5th annual golf outing at Hamilton Elks? The forecast was 98% rain for the entire day. The actual outcome - overcast with a slight "spit" on the windshield driving up at 7:30am and complete sunshine and hot weather by the third hole after a 9am start. Steve. M. won the bragging rights for our foursome when he had a natural birdie on the same par 3 course I had "beat the pro" three years earlier!
Great memories also of that year with Joe R. (now in heaven) in our foursome at the hole sponsored by Glenn Bitzenhofer! What a God wink with the reflection of a spiritual symbol of "Fishers of Men".
![]() |
| 2013 Armstrong Men Golf Outing |
Steve Z.'s email Thursday evening about option plays on USO (ETF proxy for the price of oil) and today's WSJ article about "War leaves Economy with more Stubborn Inflation, Economists predict" got me questioning who is the most accurate - Weathermen or Economists?
Copilot weighed in - "Weather forecasters, and it's not particularly close."
The rational is that Economists are trying to predict human behaviour and Weather forecasters operate under the laws of physics!
Copilot goes on to chastize the Economists with: "A famous comparison comes from economist Kenneth Galbraith, who joked that the only function of economic forecasting is to make astrology look respectable."
For proper parity - "The weather forecaster is the only person who can be wrong half the time and still keep his job."
But in the end - this says it all: "Weather forecasters and economists have one thing in common: when they're right, nobody remembers; when they're wrong, everybody does."





